I have been holding my keyboard back with the Ebola outbreak as not to fall with the ZOMG! crowd, but I think it is time to start raising the voice about WTF is going on here. And yes, there is a game changer somewhere because the numbers are scaring the crap out of me.
My knowledge about Ebola still is cursory at best and only what I have read in techno-thrillers. My memory kept insisting that even at the old scares we had, the numbers of patients was rather low and the instances did not last long. Just to be in the safe side, I did some research and found the CDC’s Outbreak Chronology of Ebola worldwide and I was correct.
Please pay attention to the numbers: Before this last outbreak, the record for the most cases in one year was Sudan 2000-2001 with 425 infections and 224 deaths. The outbreak with the most deaths was the first one on record: Zaire (1976) with 318 infections and 280 deaths.
Now here come the real scary numbers; According to the CDC, there have been 34 outbreaks of Ebola since 1976 with only six having infections and deaths in three digit area and that in the low range. The rest have been in the two and single digits!
This particular outbreak since March this year? 3,974 infected with 2,007 deaths as of today. All other deaths by Ebola going back to 1976 total 1,498 and we blew past that mark long ago. What is special about this strain that is spreading so fast and so wide? If anything, we are better at containing and treating the disease than in 1976 but this strain makes it look like we are in the 1600s medically wise.
About the only “good” thing is that either by design or treatment, this outbreak is not as deadly as some: instead of the all time high of 89%, we are having a 51% chance of death if infected. Then again you have a better chance of survival playing one round of Russian Roulette (
12 16% aprox).
So, I am not liking this shit one little bit.
Via the Feral Irishman, go check the October 3 and the October 4 posts by Raconteur Report.
And yes, you may want to start prepping.