Gillum lost his advantage?

Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Gillum and Democratic U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson have slight leads over their Republican opponents — but they’re so close that the races effectively are tied, in the poll conducted by Suffolk University for the USA Today Network.
A different poll, released Tuesday by the University of North Florida, reported the same result in the Senate contest, but a bigger lead for Gillum in the gubernatorial race.
The numbers:
— Gillum, 45 percent; Republican gubernatorial nominee Ron DeSantis, 44 percent, in the Suffolk University/USA Today poll.

Down to the wire: Florida poll shows Nelson-Scott and DeSantis-Gillum races too close to call

If the polls are correct (big-ass grain of salt on that one) it means that DeSantis has been coming from behind. Not too long ago Gillum was all set and comfy ahead between 6 and 8 points in the polls and now it is all but a tie?  Not going to predict one way or the other, but if you haven’t voted for DeSantis, you need to do so ASAP.  According to what I read somewhere, the ballot is so long this year that is taking up to 15 minutes per voter to fill it. Do the Early Voting and don’t wait for the last second.

And don’t forget Florida is still one of the very few states that does not allow carry at the polls, so be VERY careful. You never know who wants to do mischief upon your person, political or otherwise.

PS: Some idiot was turned away from wearing a Trump T-Shirt to the polls. Leave the political crap at home, the important thing is to vote!

6 Replies to “Gillum lost his advantage?”

  1. Not sure how true this is, but…

    I seem to remember reading that the Republican candidates generally tend to poll a few points lower than the actual vote count. If two weeks before election day the Republican is ahead by two/three points, I would add an additional 3-5 points to that lead. If it is neck and neck, the Republican is the likely winner.

    However, I would not bet on it. There are too many exceptions to this “rule”

    Get out and vote. Vote Freedom first. Vote against socialism. Vote against government control of every facet of your lives.

    1. I’ve heard that to, so much so that it’s said “a Republican is likely to win when polls less than 5 points behind.”

      I guess the the news that Gillum keeps getting caught with his hand in the cookie jar and only having the race card to defend himself with isn’t going over well.

      All I can say it typical socialist. He talks about fair and equal but loves to line his pockets with Government money.

  2. Polls only tell you public opinion. It is the actual votes that count. Here are the stats so far, as of 10/31/2018 at 7:21 am:
    Type of ballot Republican Democrat other No party
    Voted by Mail 820,260 754,858 10,695 345,241
    Voted Early 611,395 613,860 11,161 246,895

    As you can see, Republicans are voting in larger numbers, but it is the unaffiliated voters that are the big tossup.

    https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

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