— NJ gun laws: We know strict concealed carry works. This is why | — Courier Post By Louis Cappelli Jr.
Matt is out there fighting for the safety of the people of New Jersey. You know this because Louis tells you so. But it is fun to look some of the fun things he has to say Here in New Jersey, we have the fourth-strongest gun laws in the country. We also have the third-lowest rate of firearm deaths in the country and the lowest rate of firearm ownership with just 8.9% of New Jersey households reporting to own firearms.
Id.
Is he proud his state has some of the worse gun right infringements in the country. He is proud of the infringements in the concealed carry permitting. He is proud of the infringements on individuals making firearms. He is proud of the infringements on people right to purchase firearms without permission. He is proud of being a tyrant.
But he is very upset that some people aren’t taking a knee to these infringements. Unfortunately, this was almost instantly challenged by gun-rights groups who claimed the law was unconstitutional because it violated the Second Amendment.
id.. Yep, you read that right, they claim it was an infringement, not that it was.
And it just gets worse for him. To add insult to injury, the Supreme Court ruled in June that the Constitution provides a right to carry a gun outside the home
Id. How horrible it is that the Supreme Court reaffirmed in Bruen that Heller is still good law and that if it is an arm in common use it is covered by the Second Amendment and if it is even a little infringement it is too much.
So Louis doesn’t get to have Matt go to the courts and whine that his law should make people safer so it should pass constitutional muster.
But let’s take a look at some of Louis’s claims, that New Jersey is somehow special in the reduction of violent crimes. Of course he might be cherry picking to just crimes committed with firearms:
Every statistic tracked in violent crime in the FBI’s UCR shows that crime is decreasing. That might be meaningful.
How about his claim that New Jersey is getting safer than constitutional carry states?
2018 to 2019 NH had either just gon constitutional carry or was about to. The violent crime rate dropped 14.1%. MA went down 3.7% and NJ went down 0.8%. Hmmm, that doesn’t seem to match what Matt said.
Let’s take a look a murder in the states for 2019
| State | Population | Total murders1 |
Total murders rate | Total firearms |
Handguns | Rifles | Shotguns | Firearms (type unknown) |
Knives or cutting instruments |
Other weapons |
Hands, fists, feet, etc.2 |
| Florida | 21,477,737 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Alabama | 4,903,185 | 4 | 0.08 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Maine | 1,344,212 | 20 | 1.49 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Vermont | 623,989 | 11 | 1.76 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Iowa | 3,155,070 | 58 | 1.84 | 36 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| Idaho | 1,787,065 | 35 | 1.96 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Minnesota | 5,639,632 | 114 | 2.02 | 79 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| Utah | 3,205,958 | 66 | 2.06 | 41 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| Massachusetts | 6,892,503 | 146 | 2.12 | 86 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 38 | 14 | 8 |
| South Dakota | 884,659 | 19 | 2.15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Wyoming | 578,759 | 13 | 2.25 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Hawaii | 1,415,872 | 32 | 2.26 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| Oregon | 4,217,737 | 98 | 2.32 | 61 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 14 | 4 |
| Nebraska | 1,934,408 | 45 | 2.33 | 35 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Rhode Island | 1,059,361 | 25 | 2.36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| New Hampshire | 1,359,711 | 33 | 2.43 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Montana | 1,068,778 | 27 | 2.53 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Washington | 7,614,893 | 194 | 2.55 | 135 | 89 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 24 | 12 |
| New York | 19,453,561 | 550 | 2.83 | 298 | 255 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 119 | 89 | 44 |
| Connecticut | 3,565,287 | 104 | 2.92 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 15 | 17 | 7 |
| New Jersey | 8,882,190 | 262 | 2.95 | 176 | 118 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 45 | 25 | 16 |
| Wisconsin | 5,822,434 | 178 | 3.06 | 119 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 25 | 27 | 7 |
| Kansas | 2,913,314 | 93 | 3.19 | 56 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| North Dakota | 762,062 | 26 | 3.41 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Colorado | 5,758,736 | 209 | 3.63 | 135 | 83 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 32 | 30 | 12 |
| Indiana | 6,732,219 | 247 | 3.67 | 185 | 118 | 3 | 1 | 63 | 25 | 29 | 8 |
| West Virginia | 1,792,147 | 72 | 4.02 | 48 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| Georgia | 10,617,423 | 445 | 4.19 | 367 | 305 | 14 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 35 | 9 |
| California | 39,512,223 | 1679 | 4.25 | 1142 | 762 | 34 | 26 | 320 | 252 | 183 | 102 |
| Pennsylvania | 12,801,989 | 556 | 4.34 | 429 | 350 | 11 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 66 | 15 |
| Ohio | 11,689,100 | 521 | 4.46 | 382 | 178 | 13 | 3 | 188 | 26 | 88 | 25 |
| Arizona | 7,278,717 | 337 | 4.63 | 213 | 170 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 47 | 67 | 10 |
| Texas | 28,995,881 | 1379 | 4.76 | 1064 | 568 | 72 | 21 | 403 | 127 | 130 | 58 |
| Nevada | 3,080,156 | 147 | 4.77 | 94 | 49 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 20 | 23 | 10 |
| North Carolina | 10,488,084 | 516 | 4.92 | 383 | 224 | 26 | 8 | 125 | 52 | 68 | 13 |
| Delaware | 973,764 | 48 | 4.93 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Kentucky | 4,467,673 | 221 | 4.95 | 174 | 101 | 9 | 5 | 59 | 23 | 20 | 4 |
| Virginia | 8,535,519 | 427 | 5.00 | 323 | 150 | 15 | 9 | 149 | 40 | 49 | 15 |
| Michigan | 9,986,857 | 551 | 5.52 | 379 | 172 | 13 | 5 | 189 | 44 | 104 | 24 |
| Illinois | 12,671,821 | 771 | 6.08 | 647 | 564 | 7 | 4 | 72 | 70 | 44 | 10 |
| Mississippi | 2,976,149 | 189 | 6.35 | 153 | 117 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 23 | 2 |
| Oklahoma | 3,956,971 | 264 | 6.67 | 189 | 129 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 27 | 37 | 11 |
| New Mexico | 2,096,829 | 146 | 6.96 | 96 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 21 | 24 | 5 |
| Tennessee | 6,829,174 | 498 | 7.29 | 391 | 173 | 13 | 7 | 198 | 41 | 46 | 20 |
| Arkansas | 3,017,804 | 231 | 7.65 | 177 | 87 | 10 | 5 | 75 | 21 | 29 | 4 |
| South Carolina | 5,148,714 | 445 | 8.64 | 381 | 224 | 9 | 8 | 140 | 22 | 27 | 15 |
| Maryland | 6,045,680 | 551 | 9.11 | 460 | 414 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 43 | 34 | 14 |
| Missouri | 6,137,428 | 566 | 9.22 | 486 | 255 | 26 | 10 | 195 | 31 | 37 | 12 |
| Alaska | 731,545 | 69 | 9.43 | 44 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| Louisiana | 4,648,794 | 522 | 11.23 | 433 | 200 | 21 | 3 | 209 | 24 | 54 | 11 |
| District_of_Columbia | 705,749 | 166 | 23.52 | 136 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 10 |
Sorry for the formatting. It’s late and I’m not going to mess with the formatting. I want to get this article out.
Looking at the Total murders rate you will see that New Jersey isn’t there with the lowest, Surprisingly that is Florida. I don’t believe that there was only one murder in Florida in 2019 but that is the problem with UCR, the reporting is sometimes very weak.
Other things that Louis does is use interesting language Just one study that shows
Only one or he is just speaking about one study. I know he wants us to think that he is only talking about one study. Of course that study is from the anti-gun research group “John Hopkins[sic] Bloomberg School of Public Health” One of those places funded by an anti-gun person in a world famous medical school. So the medical school is now studying the politics of crime. Make perfect sense to a wanna-be tyrant like Bloomberg.
I’m also confused as to what a comparison to “forecasted trends” means. We predicted X but Y happened so Y is really bad. No, you did a poor job of forecasting.
— Id.
I hope you noticed what Matt did there. He is using absolute numbers instead of rates. Of course the UCR shows the sneaky thing he did of including things other than murder in his numbers. PA 556 Murders for a rate of 4.34/100,000 while NJ is 262 for a rate of 2.95/100,000. He is right, less reported murders in New Jersey than in PA but in raw numbers and in normalized numbers.
Of course that isn’t actually meaning full. When you look at Lott’s numbers, where he accounts for different types of variables he gets very different results.
Regardless, he had fun comparing 475 to 1600.
Here is his closing:
— Id.
…and in the end none of his numbers or comparisons matter because we are talking about a constitutionally protected right. Just as having a low IQ doesn’t allow the state to prohibit you from speaking your piece in public. Nor can an income of less than $10k per month be used as an excuse to quarter troops in your home.