217-213: House narrowly passes assault weapons ban legislation. 2 Republicans voted Yes and 5 Democrats voted No. The bill, which prohibits the sale, manufacture, transfer, or possession of semiautomatic assault weapons and large capacity magazines, now heads to the Senate. pic.twitter.com/021yQHCkYm

— Craig Caplan (@CraigCaplan) July 29, 2022

So the AWB passed the House.

Now it goes to the Senate.  I’m not sure what will happen there.

Does Manchin vote for it knowing how West Virginia is on guns?

I suspect Romney and Collins voting yes.

I’m 51/49 it passing the Senate.

Biden would absolutely sign it.

That leaves two options.

The Supreme Court will have to take on subject of assault weapons.

The good news is that the last SCOTUS decision on guns went out way.

The “in common use” line in Heller goes our way since there have been tens of millions of these guns sold since then.

Alternatively, we demand that every Republican running swear on any possible political future that they vote to repeal this AWB as soon as they can.

If it does pass, it will be a rough couple of years.

What we need to do us make gun bans as toxic today as it was after the Clinton ban.