Month: January 2024

Another J. Kb policy

 

I swear to God, my administration will drop a MOAB on the WEF and then I’ll have KAG hunt down and kill every last surviving member of the WEF and their families.

More lies, damn lies, and statistics

This is an example of speculative “science” created purely for propaganda purposes:

  1. This is a statistical model and not based on real pregnancy data.
  2. It is not based on validated data about rapes in Tennessee. In fact, the article notes” no recent reliable state-level data on completed vaginal rapes.” Instead, it took national data from a 2016-2017 CDC survey, and then “apportioned” the data according to the FBI Uniform Crime reports percentages. When they do this, they get over 40 thousand rapes in Tennessee for the middle of 2022 through 2023. The key here is that the CDC data has a broader definition of rape than vaginal penetration that could result in pregnancy, and uses some indirect measures (e.g. visits to sexual assault service centers), and includes things like sex while drunk. This is in contrast to the actual TBI data, of a little over 2000 reported rapes per year, or about 2500 if one includes incest and statutory rape. Thus, they overestimate the number of rapes in terms of reported rape by about a factor of 10. They justify this by noting that most rapes are not reported, which is true, but introduces an important level of error.
  3. They also used a cockeyed way of estimating pregnancy rate:

    from the data supplement:

    Rape-related pregnancy (incidence) during abortion ban period = CVR * a * b
    CVR = Completed vaginal rape incidence during abortion ban period (calculated as above)
    a = Lifetime rape-related pregnancy rate, 14.9% (CDC 2016/17)
    b = Ratio of per-rape pregnancy rate to lifetime rape-related pregnancy rate (Holmes et al, 1996)
    Specifically, Holmes et al found a per-rape pregnancy rate of 5% and a lifetime rape-related
    pregnancy rate of 6%; hence we estimate the per-rape:lifetime ratio as 5.0/6.0 = 83%.

There is not really a justification for including the “lifetime rape-related pregnancy rate” in this, but they basically double the pregnancy rate by doing this. It would be more appropriate to just use the per-rape pregnancy rate of 5%.

Now, just as the method they use grossly overestimates the rape incidence, the TBI data underestimates it, since it is true that many rapes are not reported. Nonetheless, this is an unvalidated speculative piece that is meant to overestimate the number of pregnancies for political purposes, in my opinion.

Using the more restrictive numbers of about 4000 rapes in TN over this period, and a 5 percent pregnancy rate, one would get 200 pregnancies. If one assumes that about a third of rapes are reported, then you would get 600 pregnancies.

Thus, the “real” estimate, in my mind would be anywhere between 600 and 5000 pregnancies.


AWA: This was a comment written by hh465 that, I felt, should be promoted to the front page.

Pitbull mauling caught on video

 

I love dogs.

I will shoot an unleashed pitbull.

Remember, not everything that was ts to kill you in the city walks on two legs.

If what you are saying is true, you missed the point by 5 miles.

Tennessee became one of 14 states that enacted total abortion bans after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022 with its Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization.

Now, researchers estimate that nearly 65,000 women became pregnant as a result of rape in these states, including roughly 5,000 in Tennessee.

Estimate: 5K Tennessee pregnancies from rape since TN abortion ban (tennessean.com)

The abortion ban in Tennesse started on July 25, 2022. This means that in 191 there has been 5,000 rapes that left woman impregnated or 26 a day, a skosh over one per hour.

And that number does not include rapes that did not result in pregnancies.

No, we do not have an abortion problem, we have a humongous sexual predator problem and that is not resolved by abortion.

Unless you do a post-birth abortion of the rapists.

CAD, CAM, CGI, oh my!

B.L.U.F.
hh465: I didn’t come to FreeCAD as a novice. I jumped in because I thought my experience in AutoDesk Inventor would just transfer over. It didn’t. On the other hand, I’m very, very pleased with the results. This article is from your prompt. Thank you.

Maybe the write-up below will help you get started, then start looking for YouTube videos about the thing you want to do.

Some of it is just wrapping your mind around different ways of accomplishing the same tasks.
(1400 words, lots of images, two videos)


I have been working in computer graphics since around 1976. My first introduction to “CGI” was in the show The Man From Atlantis. In the show, they had a fancy echo locator/sonar/radar system. You heard this wonderful sound, and then they showed you the visual results.

Those visual results were a standard demo for the Apple II. My parents were amazed by the technology of the TV show. Next time I had an Apple II home, I showed them the demo. It took a bit away.

While at University, I did a little more with computer graphics, but it was mostly just line drawing stuff. We had some Tektronix 4010s. The only reason these were of interest to me was that I recognized the graphics in Battlestar Galactica were generated using Tektronix displays.

After University, I did work at BRL. I was introduced to my Mentor and to CAD. My Mentor ruined CGI for me because suddenly, I could see all the artifacts of CGI in movies and TV shows.

What is CAD? CAD stands for Computer Aided Design. In its simplest form, it is a computer acting as a drafting table.

Read More

Sorry, our country has the priority.

I may be called callous, but I still do not give a damn about the tiff between Rusia and Ukraine. Prior to the war, Ukraine was the official criminal bad guy country in the world as anointed such by many of the people who now defend it.

The current invasion via our Southern border is a clear and present danger ignored by the intelligentsia that bemoans our lack of compassion towards the Ukraine government. We are about to get seriously shafted by foreign enemies aided by the complicity and complacency of domestic enemies and I am pretty sure nobody will come to help us and probably more than one nation will not only rejoice but aid our enemies in their fight.

Maybe shit will change with the elections, maybe it will remain the same. Sure as hell I am not trusting anything coming out D.C.

We are on our own.

Prepare accordingly.