Digging into the Numbers, Mood of the Nation Poll
With a title of Over half of both Second Amendment supporters and Republicans favor universal background checks and gun licensing provisions
—Poll: A majority of Americans support universal background checks, gun licensing and an assault weapons ban, APM Research Lab, (last visited Jul. 30, 2023) I had to look deeper. The first thing to know is that this was conducted by a group associated with the U. Penn. It could be a left leaning entity, I’ve not done the research.
—MOTN-May23-transparency-disclosure-and-methods, (last visited Jul. 30, 2023)
YouGov is a site where you can sign up to be paid to take surveys. This means that the bias for the survey is internet savvy. Not a bad bias.
So let’s look at the questions that were asked:
- Below are several actions that Congress might take related to guns. Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose this action?
- Require background checks for all firearm sales and transfers
- Ban the sale and private ownership of semi-automatic firearms referred to as assault weapons
- Require gun owners to take a test, get a license, and register their firearms just like they do for their automobiles
- Eliminate most current gun laws in order to protect Second Amendment rights
- You said you support efforts to [fill in with policy that the respondent strongly supports, randomly assigning in the case of more than one, or randomly choosing from among somewhat supports if no options were strongly supported]. Can you explain why?
What we see isn’t horrible. Unfortunately, it lacks context.
Consider the question of background checks. The people giving this survey do not get to explain. When I hear “background checks for all firearm sales and transfers” it might mean universal background checks. Or it could mean “transfers at the time of sale” and I might even think of it as when buying from an FFL.
Given that the only reason that there is a background check is the GCA as amended, a background check is not constitutional.
Question B is at least attempting to be honest. They have explicitly stated that they are talking about the banning of semi-automatic firearms. They didn’t just say “Assault Weapons.”
C is just plain scary. I know that most of us want gun owners to train and learn what they are doing. To be good members of the community. Requiring tests and licenses for both firearm and person is bull shit.
Let’s take a look at two categories.
81% of males support universal background checks, 66% support test, license and registration, 55% support “assault weapon ban” and 48% support eliminating most gun laws.
The sample size is 1000. 468 of which were male. They fudge those numbers to make it 487 to match the actual percentage of men and women in the country. 394 of 487 support UBC. 321 of 487 support Test, License, Registration. 267 of 487 support “assault weapons ban”, and 234 of 487 support eliminating most gun laws.
Ok, the takeaway on this survey eludes me. It looks like there is good support for the Second Amendment, but there is also support for infringements. This feels like people avoiding absolutism. Hagar answers, “What part of shall not infringe, don’t you understand?”
I am also an absolutist, I just am not as vocal about it. I don’t know.
Regardless, my rights, and yours, do not come from surveys or opinions. Our rights are protected by the Bill of Rights. We are endowed with them by our creator.