TS Dorian (with 11 AM Update)

As usual, these are all predictions which means scientific wild-ass guesses

This one predicts the pressure above the 1,000 millibars through and through. That is good as the higher the mb, the weaker the storm. I can deal with a weak Cat One.

Best case scenario for everybody is for a high pressure front in the NE to recede so Dorian can take a sharp right hand turn to the mid Atlantic. If no, I want a LOT of pressure so slips under Cuba and continues to the gulf.

Tomorrow I’ll start checking the Hurricane kit making sure all the stuff is to par.

I really can do a year without a hurricane dropping by.


UPDATE:

Not saying this guy does or does not work, but apparently he does not hurt either.  It is South Florida and we believe in locally-sourced solutions like Santeria.  😀

Slight turn North from 3 hours ago. I likes!

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Sunday Music

And dancing. My ancestors are supposed to be the Celtas (Celts) that crossed the channel and landed in the British Isles. Between the dancing of the Irish and the bagpipes like the Scottish, some credence must be given to the idea.

I did this one while visiting my grandparent and under heavy alcoholic influence. It took me all of 30 seconds to land hard on my ass and decide that I was not cut for it. My wife will attest that I can’t dance worth crap.

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“Gun Control will keep guns away from felons.” (Venezuelan Version)

(Browser translation)

José Miguel León Pérez, second sergeant in the National Guard, was shot in the head when a group of criminals attacked him at his pao-Cachincha reservoir checkpoint, via Pirapira sector, Carabobo state.‎

‎The attack happened on Friday night.‎

‎The guard was stripped of his AK-103 rifle. A commission of National Guard officials searched the area, in order to locate the whereabouts of those involved in the event.‎

Con un tiro en la cabeza asesinaron a un sargento para robarle el fusil.

Criminals in Venezuela are killing over a 200 cops a year to get their guns. The number of National Guardsmen is not know, but I would not be surprised if it passes well over the 100 mark.

You see? The criminal element is growing and only the government can import firearms to the country. There is a demand for the artifacts but they are not for sale…but they are available if you re willing to pay the price. Cash price  from the black marketeers might be too high so shooting a cop or a NG is cheaper because God Know life is indeed cheap in Venezuela.

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Accurate translation

Browsing the reddit and saw the ONO set of cards allegedly for the Argentinian market:

Liberally translated to English, Jodete means “Get fucked” I can’t say it does not represent the game.

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Hurricane Andrew, August 24, 1992

I rem,ember watching the touchdown and aftermath from Venezuela. I saw it, but I could not understand the magnitude of what the hurricane did to South Florida. A year later , I went to Miami with my partner to get some equipment quotes for our studio and place orders and a friend drove us to some of the location were the damage was still noticeable. I saw buildings that only the steel beams and concrete foundation remained standing while what once was the walls were littering the grounds. Acres upon acres of trees knocked down in one direction like gigantic roller just went over them. And that solitary car planted almost vertically in a field was the one that still bothers me for some reason.  I shivered and thank the Lord I did not have to deal with hurricanes.

And God laughed.

Over two decades in Miami and I don’t even wake up unless a Cat 1 Hurricane is about to become a Cat 2.

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Michigan needs to follow Florida.

Via Of Arms and The Law:

Yesterday the Michigan Court of Appeals handed down a decision in a highly public and very controversial case that gun owners across the United States should applaud. In short, it demonstrates and validates the value of armed self-defense even when you do not pull the trigger and — crucially — have no cause to pull the trigger. It justifies the brandishing of a gun as pre-emptive measure to block the use of unlawful force.

A Michigan Court Case Shows the Right of Armed Self-Defense Is Broader Than You Might Think

Summary: Woman with a child in her arms points gun to another woman who was being aggressive with her vehicle. he was tried and convicted to two years in prison. The conviction was thrown out by the Court of Appeals which stated that “When one brandishes a weapon without firing it, they don’t, in fact, use “deadly force.”

We had several cases in Florida where a defendant presented a firearm in the course of a confrontation and did not shoot or shot other than killing. Prosecutors hung on to that to say that the defendant was not truly in fear for life or grave bodily harm so it was actually not self-defense but assault with a deadly weapon. Please understand the silly and heartless reasoning: You were better off legally if you killed your attacker rather than scare him off. The state demanded a corpse or at least somebody in the ER so you could claim Self Defense.
Next thing, the victim of the attack was victimized by the states with 20 years of prison because no lives were lost. The most famous case was Marissa Alexander’s which was the final coffin in the nail of Prosecutor Angela Corey, famous for forcing the Zimmerman witch trial to happen. I am still dumbfounded that the Democrats stood against this bill which actually would allow for the de-escalation of a criminally dangerous situation and save lives.

The Florida Legislature changed the law and now we have in Chapter 776, Justifiable use of force, the following wording:   Use or threatened use of force in defense of person.  I hope the Michigan Legislature follows suit and Michiganders expand their options in a Deadly Force event.

 

 

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The silly phobia against blades.

It is true, some people recoil at the sight of a knife outside the dining table. I get that there is some deep cultural distrust about the blade that goes back centuries when people had to see animals and fellow humans deeply cut by sharp objects and the sight of this cuts are rather disturbing, but as always, the darn thing does not cut by itself and it does not matter if you read about a the legend of cursed Samurai sword.

(Warning: Rehashing old story up ahead)

When I worked in a hotel, I was usually tasked to be the First Aid provider for guests and associates so I got to deal with a lot of small cuts and wounds that only required a cleaning, maybe some antibiotic ointment and a band aid. The problem was the ointment that came in an individual serving bag just like ketchups’s and it was impossible  to open wearing gloves. I started to use my EDC folder to defeat the bags, but I noticed some of the guests recoiling at the sight of the regular blade. Even my boss made some grumbling comments, but he understood some sort of knife was necessary for the job and I had the training.

What I did was to look for a smaller knife that was not a gimmick and it may be a bit more palatable to the guests. After a bit of search and a dose of blind trust, I spent $30 on a Boker Subcom Wharcom.

It is a strong little blade, a workhorse. This is actually my second Subcom since the first one is now retired after a full decade of use and abuse. This particular model with the Wharncliff  blade is almost impossible to find and if you do and have a heart, I am willing to hear a decent offer for your discovery.

I had almost no negative reactions from guests after that. A few actually found the blade cute and a an even some wanted to buy it outright from me. Nein! The only other strong negative reaction I had was a new creature in HR who asked me to help her open a just delivered box of office supplies. I pulled by Boker and she actually gasped in partial horror, “You are not supposed to have that at work!” I looked at her and I said she was right and left her office, box unopened.

The knife is the second tool human’s created. A sharp blade should be as usual as breathing and yet is treated like tuberculosis… or the Black Plague if you are in the formerly Great Britain.  I bet you find yourself at least once a day trying to open some sort of package or bag or simply separating two items by sheer strength or you are forced to look for some sort of tool to do so. Have some sort of utilitarian knife, because you are wasting time and effort for no good reason otherwise.

 

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