By J. Kb

12 thoughts on “The 2021 ammo shortage”
    1. Buy local, I get better deals on gun forums and private sales than I do online stores. Though I do get several notifications a day and sometimes I’m even able to buy something.

  1. Wow. I couldn’t even check yesterday because my job required my attention (silly job!). Looks like that saved me a lot of annoyance. I am happy Fenix is selling their stock. Someday, I might actually be able to buys some of it!

  2. This is getting as bad as those people that snipe concert tickets. Tickets go on sale at 10AM. At 10:03 they are completely sold out. At 10:15 the first of dozens of tickets go on sale at the scalping sites for four times what people bought them for.

    My feeling is that we are not going to see any real ability to buy ammo at a reasonable cost until such time as we have another source of primers. If I had a cool million I’d be thinking about opening a company to produce primers. I’m pretty sure I could sell each and every one that we produced.

    1. Therefore, do you know what is required to manufacture primers? Is a million dollars sufficient to set up a primer factory? What is involved? What regulatory issues affect where such a thing could be built?
      A million dollars is a large sum for an individual, but for a consortium of investors looking for a solid return it is a very reasonable number.

  3. If I had a magic power and I could magically conjure 1 billion rounds of 9mm, 5.56, .357 magnum, .38 special, .45ACP, .308 and .40S&W Per month each. Meaning 7 billion rounds magically enters the market per month it probably would still not be enough. That would be 84 billion rounds of ammunition in a year on top of what’s already produced so close to 100 billion. And I put things in perspective Americans bought 12 billion rounds of ammunition last year. At this point it would have to be 10 billion rounds of 9 mm and 5.56 produced per month to keep up with demand. And even then barely.

  4. @shawn, I’m not sure that would solve the shortage. At this point, if it was available to me at “reasonable prices” I would purchase 5K Large Rifle primers, 5K small Rifle Primers, 10K small pistol primers, 10K large pistol primers. That is a total 30,000 primers.

    At the same time, I’d be purchasing around 100lbs of smokeless power. And at that point I’d feel comfortable for the next 4 years. Assuming I could buy replacement for any and all that I used.

    18 months ago, my big concern was that I was only able to recover about 50 to 75 percent of the brass I fired at the range. If it bounced out of my booth or forward, it was difficult to recover.

    Today, I’m much more concerned about lack of primers and powder.

    I use to think that having 2K of the four primers I used in “reserve” was all I really needed. My standards have changed.

    1. Just so you know: NFPA 495 – (Explosive Materials Fire code):

      No more than 10,000 small arms primers may be stored in residences.

      1. I’m sure there is someplace in there where it limits how much “small arms ammunition” I can have as well. Those bricks of .22lr add up fast.

      2. The local hose jockies in the know have some idea that if Fort Dancer burns down bring lawn chairs and some cold ones cause it will be an event.

  5. I don’t know what I did wrong. but I had their website open from 9:45 AM until 10:30 AM, and kept refreshing it, and I never saw any of the ammo they claim in stock.

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