I saw this on Fox News:

DOJ says citizenship question being dropped from 2020 Census: NY attorney general’s office

The New York attorney general’s office said Tuesday the Justice Department has decided to print the 2020 Census without the citizenship question sought by the Trump administration, ending a contentious legal dispute over an issue that could soon affect the makeup of Congress and the Electoral College.

The Supreme Court ruled last week that the question couldn’t be added for now, but left open the possibility that additional arguments could change its mind. Civil rights groups argued that the Trump administration’s reasons for including the question were merely pretextual efforts to discourage illegal immigrants from responding to the Census.

Population counts from the Census are used to apportion House seats among the 50 states, and a new electoral map based on the Census will be in effect for the 2024 presidential election. States receive votes in the Electoral College equal to the number of members in their congressional delegation, counting both House and Senate seats.

In a tweet on Monday, Daniel Jacobson, who worked in the White House Counsel’s Office under President Obama, said a trial attorney at the Justice Department told him that “the printer has been instructed to begin the printing process” without the citizenship question.

“We won,” Jacobson wrote.

A quick Google search for “people leaving California” comes up with a number of hits.

From CNBC: More Californians are considering fleeing the state as they blame sky-high costs, survey finds.

From ABC10: Why are so many people moving out of California?

From KTUV: California Exodus: Study says more people leaving state than moving here.

From Quartz: The California exodus is speeding up.

This article contains this important paragraph:

People have long dreamed of moving to California, but increasingly the people in the state are looking to get out.

According to recently released data from the US Census, about 38,000 more people left California than entered it in 2018. This is the second straight year that migration to the state was negative, and it’s a trend that is speeding up. Every year since 2014, net migration has fallen.

Right now, California has 53 Congressional seats.

One might expect that with several years of outgoing population, California might lose a seat or two.  At most, it might stay the same.

But consider that California is now a sanctuary state.

So I will be curious as to what happens to Congressional apportionment in California in 2020.

If California gains seats while tracking years worth of population loss of residents moving out of the state, I wonder who is making up the difference.  It would not be hard to figure out.

The question after that is “what happens next?”

What happens when we have proof that the number of illegal immigrants in a Blue state is enough to reapportion Congress, and therefore the shift the balance of the electoral college as well, for one party?

I don’t think that will go over well with a lot of the American people.

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By J. Kb

One thought on “Do the math in California in 2020”
  1. I’m trying to understand why the printing deadline for a sheet of paper that’s needed by April 1st of next year is right now, rather than March 2020. Printing a few hundred million pages is a pretty trivial exercise that any number of commercial shops can do in a modest number of days. Even by government standards of “efficiency”, taking 9 months for that job is mindboggling.

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