We will literally grind to a halt
Every candidate that got asked last night if would ban off-shore drilling, oil extraction, and coal said “yes.”
That got me thinking.
Let’s ignore power generation for one minute, and assume that all of our energy needs are met through renewable sources, including electric cars and stuff like that.
If we banned petroleum and coal, what would happen?
According to extrapolated data from NACE (National Association of Corrosion Engineers):
The total annual corrosion costs in the U.S. rose above $1 trillion in the middle of 2013, illustrating the broad and expensive challenge that corrosion presents to equipment and materials and is now estimated at $1.1 trillion for 2016.
According to Friction:
In total, ~23% (119 EJ) of the world’s total energy consumption originates from tribological contacts. Of that 20% (103 EJ) is used to overcome friction and 3% (16 EJ) is used to remanufacture worn parts and spare equipment due to wear and wear-related failures.
According to Machine Design:
By one estimate, 6% of the gross national product is wasted due to friction and wear on 21st Century mechanical and electromechanical systems.
That is $1.12 Trillion in 2019.
So corrosion and wear cost the United States roughly $2.2 Trillion and one-fifth of the energy we generate.
So what happens when we ban petroleum extraction and thereby eliminate the source of most of our paints, greases, oils, lubricants, hydraulic fluids, and corrosion inhibitors?
Exactly how fast will every mechanical system in the United States grind to a halt, rust, and fall apart?
Do any of these politicians have a clue how much petroleum it takes to make an electric train run?
What about all the super-efficient electric cars and wind turbine blades and everything else made from strong, light, carbon fiber. Do they realize most of that comes from PAN made from petroleum pitch?
All 785,000 tons of aluminum produced in the US comes from ore that is smelted using graphite anodes.
The 81.6 million metric tons of steel produced in the US is refined using coke.
That graphite and coke comes from petroleum and coal.
There are 140,000 people employed in the steel industry and 161,000 people employed in the aluminum industry.
According to the Polymer Database:
The US plastics industry is the third largest manufacturing industry in the United States. It employs nearly one million people in the manufacturing sector (about 16,000 manufacturing sites) and 1.4 million people total when including plastics suppliers.1-5 The U.S. plastics industry created a turnover of about $380 billion per year with more than $13 billion trade surplus and a total production volume of about 55 Mtons in 2012.
And almost all of that plastic comes from Petroleum.
So we ban petroleum and coal and we lose steel making, aluminum smelting, and polymer production and nearly 2 million jobs.
I’m just scratching the surface here, but “we have to get end the use of fossil fuels” will pretty much cause every machine in America to seize up and quit, most of the ironworks in America to rust, and end domestic production of most of our useful structural materials.
I’m not a politician, just an engineer, but I think this is a really bad idea.